Article Accepted Manuscript

Threat and worry (often) go together; salience stands apart - Patterns across descriptives, correlations, and ideological associations [Author Accepted Manuscript]

Author(s) / Creator(s)

Bomm, Linda C.
Bergmann, Paul K.
Bakker, Bert N.

Abstract / Description

Societal threat perception, worry, and issue salience are central to research in psychology and political science, and previous research suggests considerable overlap between the three measures. Nevertheless, they have not yet been empirically distinguished. This study addresses whether the empirical patterns of these three measures are consistent and whether they yield congruent conclusions about political ideology across twelve societal issues. Using data from a diverse Dutch sample (N = 1863), we first show that threat and worry, but not salience, pro- duce similar empirical patterns in terms of means and correlations, as citizens find issues more important than threatening or worrying. Next, we find that, overall, threat and worry correlate similarly with ideology – but also highlight exceptions – whereas issue salience often overestimates this relationship (Type M error) but rarely reverses its direction (Type S error). These findings clarify the unique roles of threat, worry, and issue salience in (political) psychology, offering a framework for future research on the threat-politics link.

Keyword(s)

Societal threat perception worry issue salience right-wing ideology threat-politics link

Persistent Identifier

Date of first publication

2026-04-15

Journal title

Social Psychological Bulletin

Publisher

PsychArchives

Publication status

acceptedVersion

Review status

reviewed

Is version of

Citation

Bomm, L. C., Bergmann, Paul K., & Bakker, B. N. (in press). Threat and worry (often) go together; salience stands apart - Patterns across descriptives, correlations, and ideological associations [Author Accepted Manuscript]. Social Psychological Bulletin. https://doi.org/10.23668/psycharchives.21846
  • Author(s) / Creator(s)
    Bomm, Linda C.
  • Author(s) / Creator(s)
    Bergmann, Paul K.
  • Author(s) / Creator(s)
    Bakker, Bert N.
  • PsychArchives acquisition timestamp
    2026-04-15T09:06:14Z
  • Made available on
    2026-04-15T09:06:14Z
  • Date of first publication
    2026-04-15
  • Abstract / Description
    Societal threat perception, worry, and issue salience are central to research in psychology and political science, and previous research suggests considerable overlap between the three measures. Nevertheless, they have not yet been empirically distinguished. This study addresses whether the empirical patterns of these three measures are consistent and whether they yield congruent conclusions about political ideology across twelve societal issues. Using data from a diverse Dutch sample (N = 1863), we first show that threat and worry, but not salience, pro- duce similar empirical patterns in terms of means and correlations, as citizens find issues more important than threatening or worrying. Next, we find that, overall, threat and worry correlate similarly with ideology – but also highlight exceptions – whereas issue salience often overestimates this relationship (Type M error) but rarely reverses its direction (Type S error). These findings clarify the unique roles of threat, worry, and issue salience in (political) psychology, offering a framework for future research on the threat-politics link.
    en
  • Publication status
    acceptedVersion
  • Review status
    reviewed
  • Sponsorship
    This publication is part of the project “Under pressure: How citizens respond to threats and adopt the attitudes and behaviours to counter them” (project number VI.Vidi.211.055, awarded to Bert N. Bakker) of the NWO Talent Programme VIDI, which is financed by the Dutch Research Council (NWO). The data analyzed in this study stems from a data collection that was funded by the Amsterdam School of Communication Research.
  • Citation
    Bomm, L. C., Bergmann, Paul K., & Bakker, B. N. (in press). Threat and worry (often) go together; salience stands apart - Patterns across descriptives, correlations, and ideological associations [Author Accepted Manuscript]. Social Psychological Bulletin. https://doi.org/10.23668/psycharchives.21846
  • ISSN
    2569-653X
  • Persistent Identifier
    https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12034/17213
  • Persistent Identifier
    https://doi.org/10.23668/psycharchives.21846
  • Language of content
    eng
  • Publisher
    PsychArchives
  • Is version of
    https://doi.org/10.32872/spb.16605
  • Is version of
    https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/j6tyg_v4
  • Is related to
    https://osf.io/h9fkv
  • Keyword(s)
    Societal threat perception
  • Keyword(s)
    worry
  • Keyword(s)
    issue salience
  • Keyword(s)
    right-wing ideology
  • Keyword(s)
    threat-politics link
  • Dewey Decimal Classification number(s)
    150
  • Title
    Threat and worry (often) go together; salience stands apart - Patterns across descriptives, correlations, and ideological associations [Author Accepted Manuscript]
    en
  • DRO type
    article
  • Journal title
    Social Psychological Bulletin
  • Visible tag(s)
    PsychOpen GOLD
  • Visible tag(s)
    Accepted Manuscript